De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.9 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 18.7 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Kings check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 22.8 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
De'Aaron Fox figures to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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