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De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 99th percentile, totaling a monstrous 27.9 points per game this year.De'Aaron Fox has tallied 35.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have put up 29.2 points per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a good matchup for offensive production.The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year.The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).This year, their opposition has secured 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).De'Aaron Fox has shot and missed 1.9 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.3 rate last year.As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the free-throw line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games with a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game.
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