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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In contrast to last year's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots from the field have surged this year to 20.9 per game.
  • De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).
  • The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • De'Aaron Fox has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
  • Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has come down with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) against the Bucks (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
  • De'Aaron Fox has failed to convert 1.9 foul shot attempts per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.3 mark last year.
  • De'Aaron Fox will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance across the board.

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