De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Kings.
The Kings have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted a lowly 18.9 foul shots per game when the Jazz are away from home this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Kings's subpar 46.5% field goal percentage settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

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