De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 3:39 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots taken have increased this season to 22.4 per game.
Compared to last season's 1.8 rate, De'Aaron Fox's 3-pointers hit have surged this season to 3.1 per game.
De'Aaron Fox has averaged 34.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Kings's impressive 117.1 points per game settles in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs since the start of last season (20.4).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Kings.
When playing on the road, the LA Clippers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).
De'Aaron Fox will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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