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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 97th percentile for shots from the field converted, compiling a monstrous 9.6 per game since the start of last season.
  • Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 5.6 per game since the start of last season.
  • De'Aaron Fox has tallied 33.5 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • The Kings are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.6% rate of drained threes measures as the 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.
  • Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a tough matchup.
  • While at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • De'Aaron Fox will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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