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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Aaron Fox has converted 9.5 buckets per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted 5.5 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have shot 53.2% on shots from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, identifying this as a positive matchup.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-most lethargic pace away team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Spurs (retaining possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
  • As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the foul line while on the road: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a mere 19.8 free throw attempts per game.
  • The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season (13th-least in the NBA).
  • De'Aaron Fox will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production across the board.

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