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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

De'Aaron Fox has played 32.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 28th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (47.8%).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Spurs have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Tre Jones is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when guarding fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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