De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage.
De'Aaron Fox has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.4 free throws per game this year (22nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).