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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2023

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has scored 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 7.5 higher than he's scored in all games this year on the road.

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

De'Aaron Fox has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.

The matchup against the Jazz is a favorable one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs since the start of last season (19.5).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Mike Conley is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when Conley is on his home court and guarding opposing starting PGs since the start of last season, they have attempted a lowly 5.2 treys per game (17th percentile).

The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production for all stats.

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