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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • De'Aaron Fox has tallied 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted 8.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Luka Doncic is a difficult one; he has allowed a measly 14.6 points per game while playing away from home when guarding fellow starting PGs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Luka Doncic is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; when Doncic is away from his home court and facing fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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