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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

De'Aaron Fox Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 5.6 per game since the start of last season.

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 33.5 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Kings are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the NBA with 10.7 offensive boards per game over the last 6 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.6% rate of drained threes measures as the 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a tough matchup.

While at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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