De'Aaron Fox Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 8:04 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.4 minutes per game on the road this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has averaged a measly 5.5 assists per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.3 assists per game last year.
De'Aaron Fox has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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