De'Aaron Fox Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has posted 8.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's posted overall this year.
De'Aaron Fox has averaged 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Kings.
De'Aaron Fox will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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