Dario Saric Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has totaled 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA in this category in recent games: 84th percentile.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Dario Saric will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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