Dario Saric Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 10:09 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has totaled 6.0 rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the league's hottest by this metric in recent days: 85th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dario Saric will likely see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Dario Saric has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have grabbed 14.1 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (saving possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).

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