Dario Saric Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has totaled a terrific 2.0 offensive boards per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.9 offensive boards per game last season.
The 3rd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 11 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Dario Saric will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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