Dario Saric Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 10:17 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has posted a terrific 2.1 offensive boards per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.9 offensive boards per game last year.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5thbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 12.1 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
Dario Saric ought to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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