Dario Saric Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 4:08 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has averaged a terrific 1.9 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.9 offensive rebounds per game last year.
In contrast to last season's 13.6 clip, Dario Saric's playing time has surged this season to 21.4 minutes per game.
The 10th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (retaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
Dario Saric will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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