Dario Saric Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has totaled an impressive 1.8 offensive boards per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.9 offensive boards per game last year.
Dario Saric has tallied a whopping 20.6 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 13.6 minutes per game last season.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dario Saric ought to see a spike in production for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Dario Saric has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game over the last 7 games playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
While playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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