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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dario Saric has sunk 22.6% of his field goals over the last 6 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court.
  • The Nuggets have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when Zubac is on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.8 three-pointers per game (90th percentile).
  • The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The showdown with Ivica Zubac as it relates to drawing fouls lands in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.4 free throws per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Dario Saric comes in at the 11th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with a weak 0.0% rate this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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