Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 17 games while playing at home.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Dario Saric has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

Dario Saric has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).
With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.2% field goal rate as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have shot 37.4% on three-pointers (9th-best in the league) against the Magic, marking this as a positive matchup.
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 24.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (7th-most in the league).

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