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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dario Saric has attempted 7.9 field goals per game this season, significantly more than his 4.8 mark last season.
  • Relative to last season's 2.0 clip, Dario Saric's 3-point attempts have increased this season to 4.1 per game.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have averaged the 4th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (11.0).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
  • The Denver Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted 26.0 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.
  • Dario Saric will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.

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