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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dario Saric has sunk 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.0% more than he's sunk overall this year while at home.

Dario Saric has successfully made 63.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.2% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing at home.

This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are away from home, opposing teams have shot for the 9th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (36.2%).

The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dario Saric has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 44.2% field goal percentage on their home court rates 3rd-lowest in the league this year.

The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have grabbed 14.1 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (saving possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Washington Wizards are away from home, the other team has attempted an enormous 25.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (most in the NBA).

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