Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 8:19 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 0.8 mark, Dario Saric's three-point shots scored have risen this season to 1.6 per game.
This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (43.8%).
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has tallied a lowly 8.4 points per game this season, significantly less than his 6.0 points per game last season.
Dario Saric has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
In terms of scoring, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal percentage while on the road measures as the 6th-fewest in the league this year.
When playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 25.6 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).