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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dario Saric has put up an impressive 10.8 points per game this season, significantly more than his 6.2 points per game last season.
  • Compared to last year's 0.8 mark, Dario Saric's three-pointers made have spiked this year to 1.7 per game.
  • Dario Saric has tallied an impressive 21.4 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 13.6 minutes per game last year.
  • The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
  • The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dario Saric has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
  • The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
  • This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged 43.8 buckets per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup.
  • This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a monstrous 27.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).
  • Dario Saric will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production for all stats.

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