Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 4.8 mark, Dario Saric's field goal attempts have surged this season to 8.2 per game.
Dario Saric has attempted 4.3 treys per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.0 rate last year.
Dario Saric has averaged an impressive 21.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 13.6 minutes per game last season.
The Spurs have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 110.0 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; the other team has averaged the most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (17.3).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
This matchup is a strong one for drawing fouls; when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted a colossal 24.5 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).

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