Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 10:12 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 2.0 rate, Dario Saric's three-point attempts have increased this season to 4.1 per game.
In contrast to last season's 13.6 rate, Dario Saric's playing time has jumped this season to 20.6 minutes per game.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 14thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have captured 8.6 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The Warriors check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Rockets).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have attempted 28.3 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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