Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 0.8 rate, Dario Saric's three-point shots hit have jumped this year to 1.5 per game.
In comparison to last season's 13.6 mark, Dario Saric's playing time has spiked this season to 20.9 minutes per game.
This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are playing at home, they have given up the least points per game in the league to their opposition this year (104.4).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game over the last 8 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Warriors rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
When playing away from home, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (15.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have attempted 23.8 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

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