Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 3:39 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has successfully made 55.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a challenging one for field goals; the other team have posted the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.4%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which should boost plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the other team have attempted an enormous 26.1 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (5th-most in the league).

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