Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 7:27 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; the other team have totaled the 8th-most threes per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (14.0).
The Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Thunder.
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

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