Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 8:51 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for scoring; opposing clubs have posted the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (44.7%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
The Suns have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Suns are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 26.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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