Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 10:06 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (39.3).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Thunder.
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Warriors are the visiting team, the other team have attempted a monstrous 25.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (7th-most in the league).

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