Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has converted 41.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Dario Saric has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year without the home court advantage (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one for field goals; opposing teams have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.3%).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has been on the court for 13.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the league.
Dario Saric has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 26.1 free throws per game this year with the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league this year.

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