Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has made 45.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 12.4% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year when playing on the road.
Dario Saric has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year when playing away from home (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has played 12.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 21st percentile -- ranking among the least-used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for scoring; their opposition have put up the 6th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.2%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls while playing away from home: worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 18.5 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (13.8).

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