Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-127).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 19.5% more than he's sunk in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Dario Saric has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's converted overall this season.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Suns have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Warriors.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; when playing at home, opposing teams have posted the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.7%).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has played 11.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 18th percentile -- [PUTTING_HIM_AMONG_THE_LEAST_UTILIZED_PLAYERS] [IN_THE_LEAGUE].
The Warriors have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year with the home court advantage (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 26.1 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the foul line on the road: worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 17.9 [FREE_THROWS_ATTEMPTS] per game.

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