Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has converted 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 20.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Dario Saric has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Dario Saric has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which can also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has played 9.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have shot for the 5th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.6%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league at home this year.
The Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should reduce plays for the Cavaliers.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls while playing at home: 9th-worst in the league this year, drawing a mere 23.5 foul shots per game.

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