Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has sunk 39.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 13.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road.
Dario Saric has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Cavaliers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a colossal 22.4 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has played 10.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 15th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Cavaliers.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, totaling a mere 20.6 free throw attempts per game.
Dario Saric will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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