Dario Saric Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 6:32 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dario Saric will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.

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