Dario Saric Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 8:19 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dario Saric has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
When playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Dario Saric will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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