Dario Saric Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dario Saric has played an impressive 21.0 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 13.6 minutes per game last year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (retaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).
Dario Saric will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.

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