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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has made 61.7% of his shots from the field playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.

The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets).

The Mavericks have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.

When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks's subpar 111.0 points per game settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 1.4 three-point shots per game (3rd percentile).

The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game (13th percentile).

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