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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has converted 7.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Daniel Gafford has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.

The matchup against Yves Missi is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 39.0% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (90th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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