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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 100th percentile for shooting efficiency when playing at home with a a very good 77.8% rate since the start of last season.

The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.

This year, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 58.9% on field goal attempts (24th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 fouls per game last season.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can create further chances for offense).

Daniel Gafford has made a measly 64.3% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit less than his 72.6 rate last year.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.0 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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