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Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have logged 16.3 points per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production.The speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 8.4 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in more chances for offense).This year, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last season's 9.2 clip, Daniel Gafford's points per game have decreased this season to 6.4.Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 4.0 fouls per game this year.The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Toronto Raptors).The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).Relative to last season's 70.6% rate, Daniel Gafford's foul-shot prowess has decreased this season to 54.2%.
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