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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 99th percentile for shooting performance with a a phenomenal 75.6% rate since the start of last season.

As it relates to shooting, the Washington Wizards's superb 123.0 points per game places most in the league this year.

The quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.

This year, the other team has attempted 20.2 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, struggling to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

This year, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 0.2 3-pointers per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, labeling this as a hard matchup.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 5thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

While on the road, the Nets have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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