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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has tallied 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Washington Wizards rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has converted 72.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, -5.7% lower than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.

Daniel Gafford has converted 0.0% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 3rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.8 more than he's committed overall this year at home.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (12.1).

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Wizards.

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