D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has attempted 5.5 shots from downtown per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
As it relates to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's outstanding 47.8% field goal rate rates 8th-most in the league over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
Out of all players in the league, D'Angelo Russell slots into the 79th percentile for free-throw efficiency when playing on the road with an impressive 89.1% rate this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
D'Angelo Russell stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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