D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has averaged 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 more than he's averaged overall this season.
D'Angelo Russell has sunk 5.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
D'Angelo Russell has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

D'Angelo Russell has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one; when the Rockets are at home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Rockets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.