D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has posted 18.0 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 86th percentile.
D'Angelo Russell has made 3.8 threes per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing on the road.
D'Angelo Russell has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for field goals; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 28th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (48.0%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Lakers.
Playing at home, the Bulls have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.5 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).
D'Angelo Russell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.